BELLWETHER SKYGOD Aug 19 2:49pm · paper · $5,000 bankroll · Redsky

equity $4,366 -12.7%
Redsky Back the MODERATE leader. RETARGETED 2026-07-05: a 6-day calibration showed strong favorites (55-90%) carry no edge, but buckets priced 40-62% YES were under-priced (won more than their price implied). So from 11:30am each city's local time, the first time the leader's live YES sits in the 40-62% band, buy YES - a flat $50 filled to depth - and hold to settlement. One entry per city per day. History before 2026-07-05 was the old back-the-55-90%-favorite strategy at $100. STOPPED 2026-07-11 (edge audit: favorites are fairly priced, book bled spread at -5.5%/trade; superseded by Weathervane).
SYSTEM HEALTH: accuw_pull: stale (42062m since ok)AccuW data 701h old (stale)
total P&L
-$634
all-time · since Jul 3
P&L · 24h
+$0
0 trades closed
realized P&L
-$634
158 closed · since Jul 3
unrealized P&L
+$0
0 open · mark-to-market
cash available
$4,366
of $5,000 start · $0 in play
in play
$0
0 bets working · at risk
could win
$0
if every open position hits
win rate
53%
84 of 158 trades

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Bellwether SkyGod · auto-refreshes every 60 seconds · last loaded Aug 19 2:49pm