BELLWETHER SKYGOD Jun 20 13:08 · paper · $5,000 bankroll

equity $5,011 +0.2%
cash available
$4,900
started at $5,000
at risk
$100
2/8 positions open
could win
$171
if every open position hits
closed P&L
+$0
0 trades · 0% win rate

open bets (2)

Denver: high temp will be 90-91°F
resolves Jun 21 (tomorrow)
cheap
Forecasts point to this temperature bucket, but the market is pricing it as a long shot. We grab YES at the bargain price.
spent
$50
could win
$122
sell now
$62
NWSGFSECMWFAccuWcons
entry 89.7°F89.7°F92.5°F91.0°F90.7°F
now 89.7°F89.7°F92.5°F91.0°F90.7°F
Δ +0.0°F +0.0°F +0.0°F +0.0°F +0.0°F
entry 27.54¢ · mark 34.50¢ +12.64
Philadelphia: high temp will be 86-87°F
resolves Jun 21 (tomorrow)
crowd
All weather models agree on a temperature, but the market hasn't fully priced it in yet. We bet YES on the consensus bucket while it's still discounted.
spent
$50
could win
$48
sell now
$48
NWSGFSECMWFAccuWcons
entry 85.8°F85.8°F84.7°F86.0°F85.6°F
now 85.8°F85.8°F84.7°F86.0°F85.6°F
Δ +0.0°F +0.0°F +0.0°F +0.0°F +0.0°F
entry 48.96¢ · mark 47.50¢ -1.49

today's events (14 being watched)

Austin · Jun 20 (today)
skipped
consensus 88.2°F spread 3.1°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 10.5h left
Too close to close (10.5h), edge eroded
Chicago · Jun 20 (today)
skipped
consensus 77.8°F spread 1.4°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 10.5h left
Too close to close (10.5h), edge eroded
Denver · Jun 20 (today)
skipped
consensus 90.6°F spread 5.0°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 11.5h left
Too close to close (11.5h), edge eroded
Los Angeles · Jun 20 (today)
skipped
consensus 71.8°F spread 5.0°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 12.5h left
Forecast sources disagree too much, can't trust the consensus
Miami · Jun 20 (today)
skipped
consensus 90.5°F spread 2.3°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 9.5h left
Too close to close (9.5h), edge eroded
NYC · Jun 20 (today)
skipped
consensus 83.2°F spread 4.2°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 9.5h left
Too close to close (9.5h), edge eroded
Philadelphia · Jun 20 (today)
skipped
consensus 84.4°F spread 1.1°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 9.5h left
Too close to close (9.5h), edge eroded
Austin · Jun 21 (tomorrow)
skipped
consensus 88.4°F spread 4.9°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 1.4d left
Forecast sources disagree too much, can't trust the consensus
Chicago · Jun 21 (tomorrow)
skipped
consensus 71.3°F spread 5.8°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 1.4d left
Forecast sources disagree too much, can't trust the consensus
Denver · Jun 21 (tomorrow)
ENTERED
consensus 90.7°F spread 2.8°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 1.5d left
cheap_on_forecast · YES @ 35.00¢
Los Angeles · Jun 21 (tomorrow)
skipped
consensus 72.3°F spread 6.4°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 1.5d left
Forecast sources disagree too much, can't trust the consensus
Miami · Jun 21 (tomorrow)
skipped
consensus 90.9°F spread 2.8°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 1.4d left
no match
NYC · Jun 21 (tomorrow)
skipped
consensus 83.0°F spread 4.7°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 1.4d left
Forecast sources disagree too much, can't trust the consensus
Philadelphia · Jun 21 (tomorrow)
ENTERED
consensus 85.6°F spread 1.3°F · 4 sources 6 buckets · 1.4d left
crowd_converge · YES @ 48.00¢

recently closed

No trades closed yet. First settlement happens tonight or tomorrow.
Bellwether SkyGod · auto-refreshes every 60 seconds · last loaded Jun 20 13:08