Heretic Bet AGAINST the gospel. The 2026-07-11 edge audit found the crowd anchors on the public NWS number: in the morning the bucket holding the rounded NWS forecast trades ~6c RICH (wins ~40% priced ~46%), and the overpricing lives almost entirely on days the weather models DISAGREE with each other. So between 9 and 11:59am each city's local time, when the 5-model spread (NWS/HRRR/NAM/GFS/ECMWF, std of their highs) is at least 1.5°F, Heretic buys NO on the NWS bucket - flat $50, one entry per city per day, held to settlement. When the models agree it stands down: an agreed forecast is fairly priced and there is nothing to fade. Pre-registered expectation ~+5c/contract; judge after 250+ trades. Every one of our old losing books was the mirror of this trade (they BOUGHT the NWS bucket).
SYSTEM HEALTH:
accuw_pull: stale (43596m since ok) AccuW data 727h old (stale)
total P&L
-$908
all-time · since Jul 12
P&L · 24h
+$79
14 trades closed
realized P&L
-$972
604 closed · since Jul 12
unrealized P&L
+$64
16 open · mark-to-market
cash available
$3,593
of $5,000 start · $435 in play
in play
$435
16 bets working · at risk
could win
$218
if every open position hits
win rate
63%
383 of 604 trades
open bets (16)
Today · 16 positions +$172 -$49 net +$123 total $558
high today WILL NOT be
97-98°F 96.5 - 98.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am EDT 10h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am EDT +5h (late tonight)
win profit
+$17
1.68x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
98°F
—
NOW:
98°F
—
1
97-98°F Yes 97% No 3% $3,279 vol
Buy
2
99-100°F Yes 1% No 99% $3,470 vol
Buy
3
95-96°F Yes 0% No 100% $9,372 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
83-84°F 82.5 - 84.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am EDT 10h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am EDT +5h (late tonight)
win profit
+$2
1.12x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
83°F
—
NOW:
83°F
—
1
85-86°F Yes 99% No 1% $3,360 vol
Buy
2
≤80°F Yes 0% No 100% $871 vol
Buy
3
≥89°F Yes 0% No 100% $2,254 vol
Buy
6
83-84°F Yes 0% No 100% $4,812 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
93-94°F 92.5 - 94.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am EDT 10h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am EDT +5h (late tonight)
win profit
+$3
2.34x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
93°F
—
NOW:
93°F
—
1
93-94°F Yes 99% No 1% $28,708 vol
Buy
2
≤88°F Yes 0% No 100% $1,162 vol
Buy
3
91-92°F Yes 0% No 100% $27,557 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
82-83°F 81.5 - 83.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am EDT 10h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am EDT +5h (late tonight)
win profit
+$32
2.05x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
82°F
—
NOW:
82°F
—
1
84-85°F Yes 99% No 1% $28,530 vol
Buy
2
78-79°F Yes 0% No 100% $6,700 vol
Buy
3
80-81°F Yes 0% No 100% $12,678 vol
Buy
5
82-83°F Yes 0% No 100% $36,288 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
82-83°F 81.5 - 83.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am EDT 10h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am EDT +5h (late tonight)
win profit
+$3
1.07x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
83°F
—
NOW:
83°F
—
1
84-85°F Yes 99% No 1% $19,007 vol
Buy
2
≤79°F Yes 0% No 100% $26,971 vol
Buy
3
82-83°F Yes 0% No 100% $15,285 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
88-89°F 87.5 - 89.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am EDT 10h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am EDT +5h (late tonight)
win profit
+$7
1.25x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
88°F
—
NOW:
88°F
—
1
≥92°F Yes 44% No 56% $3,608 vol
Buy
2
90-91°F Yes 35% No 65% $4,125 vol
Buy
3
≤83°F Yes 0% No 100% $507 vol
Buy
6
88-89°F Yes 0% No 100% $3,842 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
102-103°F 101.5 - 103.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am CDT 9h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am CDT +6h (late tonight)
win profit
+$1
1.85x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
103°F
—
NOW:
103°F
—
1
102-103°F Yes 49% No 51% $8,956 vol
Buy
2
104-105°F Yes 38% No 62% $9,572 vol
Buy
3
106-107°F Yes 0% No 100% $3,210 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
79-80°F 78.5 - 80.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am CDT 9h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am CDT +6h (late tonight)
win profit
+$21
2.54x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
79°F
—
NOW:
79°F
—
1
79-80°F Yes 87% No 13% $7,968 vol
Buy
2
77-78°F Yes 7% No 93% $14,676 vol
Buy
3
81-82°F Yes 1% No 99% $8,562 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
98-99°F 97.5 - 99.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am CDT 9h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am CDT +6h (late tonight)
win profit
+$2
2.08x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
99°F
—
NOW:
99°F
—
1
98-99°F Yes 76% No 24% $9,355 vol
Buy
2
100-101°F Yes 4% No 96% $6,689 vol
Buy
3
≤97°F Yes 0% No 100% $13,382 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
84-85°F 83.5 - 85.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am CDT 9h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am CDT +6h (late tonight)
win profit
+$8
1.18x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
84°F
—
NOW:
79°F
—
1
80-81°F Yes 49% No 51% $2,332 vol
Buy
2
≤79°F Yes 19% No 81% $5,931 vol
Buy
3
82-83°F Yes 14% No 86% $2,644 vol
Buy
4
84-85°F Yes 2% No 98% $2,913 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
102-103°F 101.5 - 103.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am CDT 9h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am CDT +6h (late tonight)
win profit
+$6
1.54x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
102°F
—
NOW:
104°F
—
1
106-107°F Yes 26% No 74% $3,262 vol
Buy
2
104-105°F Yes 7% No 93% $5,202 vol
Buy
3
≥108°F Yes 4% No 96% $4,311 vol
Buy
4
102-103°F Yes 0% No 100% $3,294 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
92-93°F 91.5 - 93.4
opened Aug 20 11:40am MDT 5h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am MDT +7h (late tonight)
win profit
+$2
2.83x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
93°F
—
NOW:
93°F
—
1
92-93°F Yes 83% No 17% $3,072 vol
Buy
2
90-91°F Yes 4% No 96% $3,083 vol
Buy
3
94-95°F Yes 2% No 98% $7,336 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
107-108°F 106.5 - 108.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am MST 7h ago
resolves Aug 21 12:00am MST +7h (late tonight)
win profit
+$37
1.94x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
107°F
—
NOW:
107°F
—
1
107-108°F Yes 46% No 54% $9,192 vol
Buy
2
109-110°F Yes 38% No 62% $8,831 vol
Buy
3
≤106°F Yes 4% No 96% $17,079 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
81-82°F 80.5 - 82.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am PDT 7h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am PDT +8h (late tonight)
win profit
+$64
2.32x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
82°F
—
NOW:
82°F
—
1
77-78°F Yes 84% No 16% $159,095 vol
Buy
2
79-80°F Yes 15% No 85% $57,813 vol
Buy
3
81-82°F Yes 0% No 100% $56,585 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
69-70°F 68.5 - 70.4
opened Aug 20 9:00am PDT 7h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am PDT +8h (late tonight)
win profit
+$12
1.25x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
70°F
—
NOW:
70°F
—
1
67-68°F Yes 61% No 39% $5,633 vol
Buy
2
69-70°F Yes 27% No 73% $4,745 vol
Buy
3
71-72°F Yes 0% No 100% $4,788 vol
Buy
high today WILL NOT be
81-82°F 80.5 - 82.4
opened Aug 20 10:00am PDT 6h ago
resolves Aug 21 1:00am PDT +8h (late tonight)
win profit
+$1
1.01x payout
FORECAST
NWS
ACC
OPEN:
82°F
—
NOW:
82°F
—
1
85-86°F Yes 41% No 59% $4,338 vol
Buy
2
83-84°F Yes 33% No 67% $5,134 vol
Buy
3
≥87°F Yes 8% No 92% $4,966 vol
Buy
4
81-82°F Yes 2% No 98% $7,830 vol
Buy
recently closed
Yesterday · 14 closed · 10W 4L · +$79
Close at settlement · 14 closed · 10W 4L · +$79
San Francisco · 73-74°F
Aug 20 7:26am PDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $51 back
+$1.49
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am PDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am PDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
74.0°F 73.2°F 65.1°F — — — 74.0°F exit
— 69.8°F 66.7°F — 72.5°F 71.4°F — now
— 69.8°F 66.7°F — 72.5°F 71.4°F —
recorded high · San Francisco (KSFO)
67.0°F
rounds to 67°F · outside bucket
Los Angeles · 80-81°F
Aug 20 7:26am PDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $69 back
+$19.02
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am PDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am PDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
81.0°F 80.6°F 95.0°F — — — 81.0°F exit
— 78.4°F 94.2°F — 82.3°F 81.1°F — now
— 78.4°F 94.2°F — 82.3°F 81.1°F —
recorded high · LAX
82.4°F
rounds to 82°F · outside bucket
Seattle · 77-78°F
Aug 20 7:26am PDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$45 → $56 back
+$11.28
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am PDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am PDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
78.0°F 86.0°F 78.9°F — — — 78.0°F
recorded high · Seattle (KSEA)
82.0°F
rounds to 82°F · outside bucket
Denver · 88-89°F
Aug 20 7:26am MDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$2 → $4 back
+$2.03
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:40am MDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am MDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
88.0°F 86.3°F 87.4°F — — — 88.0°F exit
— 87.4°F 89.8°F — 90.4°F 89.8°F 89.3°F now
— 87.4°F 89.8°F — 90.4°F 89.8°F 89.3°F
recorded high · Denver Intl (KDEN)
90.0°F
rounds to 90°F · outside bucket
New Orleans · 94-95°F
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$3 → $4 back
+$1.61
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am CDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
95.0°F 98.4°F 92.2°F — — — 95.0°F exit
— 98.0°F 93.2°F — 96.7°F 95.0°F 95.7°F now
— 98.0°F 93.2°F — 96.7°F 95.0°F 95.7°F
recorded high · New Orleans (KMSY)
95.0°F
rounds to 95°F · in bucket
Houston · 97-98°F
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$0 → $0 back
-$0.42
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am CDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
98.0°F 104.7°F 96.5°F — — — 98.0°F exit
— 101.4°F 95.6°F — 96.9°F 97.3°F — now
— 101.4°F 95.6°F — 96.9°F 97.3°F —
recorded high · Houston Hobby (KHOU)
96.0°F
rounds to 96°F · outside bucket
Oklahoma City · 107-108°F
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $59 back
+$9.34
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am CDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
108.0°F 111.4°F 107.2°F — — — 108.0°F exit
— 106.9°F 104.7°F — 106.4°F 104.8°F — now
— 106.9°F 104.7°F — 106.4°F 104.8°F —
recorded high · Oklahoma City (KOKC)
104.0°F
rounds to 104°F · outside bucket
Austin · 102-103°F
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$34 → $0 back
-$35.92
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am CDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
102.0°F 104.2°F 101.1°F — — — 102.0°F exit
— 102.4°F 100.8°F — 101.7°F 100.5°F 101.3°F now
— 102.4°F 100.8°F — 101.7°F 100.5°F 101.3°F
recorded high · Austin-Bergstrom (KAUS)
102.0°F
rounds to 102°F · in bucket
Chicago · 78-79°F
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $89 back
+$39.00
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am CDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
79.0°F 82.6°F 77.7°F — — — 79.0°F exit
— 83.3°F 76.8°F — 81.0°F 80.5°F 80.4°F now
— 83.3°F 76.8°F — 81.0°F 80.5°F 80.4°F
recorded high · Midway, Chicago
80.0°F
rounds to 80°F · outside bucket
Minneapolis · 80-81°F
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$2 → $4 back
+$2.06
▾
entered
Aug 19 10:00am CDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am CDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
80.0°F 83.7°F 80.7°F — — — 80.0°F exit
— 81.6°F 80.7°F — 79.3°F 80.1°F 80.4°F now
— 81.6°F 80.7°F — 79.3°F 80.1°F 80.4°F
recorded high · Minneapolis (KMSP)
81.0°F
rounds to 81°F · in bucket
Miami · 97-98°F
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $102 back
+$52.47
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am EDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
97.0°F 99.1°F 93.6°F — — — 97.0°F exit
— 97.5°F 93.2°F — 97.0°F 93.7°F 95.3°F now
— 97.5°F 93.2°F — 97.0°F 93.7°F 95.3°F
recorded high · Miami International
95.0°F
rounds to 95°F · outside bucket
Atlanta · 95-96°F
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$7 → $0 back
-$6.99
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am EDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
95.0°F 97.9°F 96.1°F — — — 95.0°F exit
— 96.3°F 93.2°F — 93.1°F 94.0°F 94.2°F now
— 96.3°F 93.2°F — 93.1°F 94.0°F 94.2°F
recorded high · Atlanta (KATL)
94.0°F
rounds to 94°F · outside bucket
Boston · 84-85°F
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $55 back
+$5.20
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am EDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
84.0°F 86.0°F 87.3°F — — — 84.0°F exit
— 84.9°F 86.3°F — 86.9°F 87.3°F — now
— 84.9°F 86.3°F — 86.9°F 87.3°F —
recorded high · Boston Logan (KBOS)
87.0°F
rounds to 87°F · outside bucket
NYC · 85-86°F
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$21 → $0 back
-$21.32
▾
entered
Aug 19 9:00am EDT (yesterday)
exited
Aug 20 7:26am EDT (today)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
86.0°F 91.1°F 84.7°F — — — 86.0°F exit
— 90.2°F 86.2°F — 87.5°F 88.7°F 88.2°F now
— 90.2°F 86.2°F — 87.5°F 88.7°F 88.2°F
recorded high · Central Park, NYC
85.0°F
rounds to 85°F · in bucket
2 days ago · 15 closed · 7W 8L · -$106
Close at settlement · 15 closed · 7W 8L · -$106
Seattle · 78-79°F
Aug 19 7:26am PDT (yesterday) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $70 back
+$20.18
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am PDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am PDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
78.0°F 86.0°F 79.5°F — — — 78.0°F
recorded high · Seattle (KSEA)
80.6°F
rounds to 81°F · outside bucket
Los Angeles · 79-80°F
Aug 19 7:26am PDT (yesterday) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$2 → $8 back
+$5.94
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am PDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am PDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
80.0°F 81.3°F 91.1°F — — — 80.0°F
recorded high · LAX
81.0°F
rounds to 81°F · outside bucket
Denver · 91-92°F
Aug 19 7:26am MDT (yesterday) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$10 → $18 back
+$7.94
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am MDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am MDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
91.0°F 87.2°F 87.5°F — — — 91.0°F
recorded high · Denver Intl (KDEN)
87.0°F
rounds to 87°F · outside bucket
Oklahoma City · 106-107°F
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$2 → $3 back
+$1.41
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am CDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
106.0°F 110.5°F 105.2°F — — — 106.0°F
recorded high · Oklahoma City (KOKC)
108.0°F
rounds to 108°F · outside bucket
Austin · 102-103°F
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$12 → $0 back
-$13.02
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am CDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
102.0°F 104.5°F 99.7°F — — — 102.0°F exit
— 102.9°F 99.1°F — 101.0°F 99.0°F 100.5°F now
— 102.9°F 99.1°F — 101.0°F 99.0°F 100.5°F
recorded high · Austin-Bergstrom (KAUS)
101.0°F
rounds to 101°F · outside bucket
Houston · 96-97°F
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$50 → $0 back
-$51.68
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am CDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
97.0°F 101.1°F 94.9°F — — — 97.0°F exit
— 102.1°F 94.9°F — 97.5°F 95.6°F 97.5°F now
— 102.1°F 94.9°F — 97.5°F 95.6°F 97.5°F
recorded high · Houston Hobby (KHOU)
96.8°F
rounds to 97°F · in bucket
Chicago · 80-81°F
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$50 → $0 back
-$50.87
▾
entered
Aug 18 11:20am CDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
80.0°F 81.9°F 79.8°F — — — 80.0°F exit
— 81.9°F 80.4°F — 81.7°F 79.8°F 81.0°F now
— 81.9°F 80.4°F — 81.7°F 79.8°F 81.0°F
recorded high · Midway, Chicago
80.0°F
rounds to 80°F · in bucket
New Orleans · 95-96°F
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$24 → $0 back
-$25.49
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am CDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
96.0°F 97.5°F 92.7°F — — — 96.0°F exit
— 98.6°F 94.0°F — 98.4°F 96.1°F 96.8°F now
— 98.6°F 94.0°F — 98.4°F 96.1°F 96.8°F
recorded high · New Orleans (KMSY)
95.0°F
rounds to 95°F · in bucket
Minneapolis · 79-80°F
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $59 back
+$8.88
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am CDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am CDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
79.0°F 88.2°F 82.5°F — — — 79.0°F exit
— 84.8°F 82.5°F — 83.4°F 83.0°F 83.4°F now
— 84.8°F 82.5°F — 83.4°F 83.0°F 83.4°F
recorded high · Minneapolis (KMSP)
83.0°F
rounds to 83°F · outside bucket
NYC · 85-86°F
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$4 → $0 back
-$4.20
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am EDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
85.0°F 86.4°F 84.9°F — — — 85.0°F exit
— 88.7°F 84.5°F — 87.9°F 86.0°F 86.8°F now
— 88.7°F 84.5°F — 87.9°F 86.0°F 86.8°F
recorded high · Central Park, NYC
85.0°F
rounds to 85°F · in bucket
Philadelphia · 88-89°F
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$50 → $0 back
-$51.82
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am EDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
88.0°F 89.8°F 86.4°F — — — 88.0°F exit
— 90.4°F 85.6°F — 87.1°F 86.1°F 87.3°F now
— 90.4°F 85.6°F — 87.1°F 86.1°F 87.3°F
recorded high · PHL Philadelphia
87.0°F
rounds to 87°F · outside bucket
Washington DC · 88-89°F
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$6 → $0 back
-$5.72
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:20am EDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
88.0°F 90.5°F 86.9°F — — — 88.0°F exit
— 87.9°F 86.3°F — 89.4°F 88.7°F 88.1°F now
— 87.9°F 86.3°F — 89.4°F 88.7°F 88.1°F
recorded high · Washington Reagan (KDCA)
89.6°F
rounds to 90°F · outside bucket
Miami · 97-98°F
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $91 back
+$40.88
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am EDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
98.0°F 102.0°F 95.4°F — — — 98.0°F exit
— 101.1°F 96.8°F — 100.7°F 97.1°F 98.9°F now
— 101.1°F 96.8°F — 100.7°F 97.1°F 98.9°F
recorded high · Miami International
99.0°F
rounds to 99°F · outside bucket
Atlanta · 94-95°F
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$16 → $29 back
+$12.52
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am EDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
94.0°F 97.6°F 95.8°F — — — 94.0°F exit
— 95.8°F 90.8°F — 90.8°F 91.7°F 92.3°F now
— 95.8°F 90.8°F — 90.8°F 91.7°F 92.3°F
recorded high · Atlanta (KATL)
92.0°F
rounds to 92°F · outside bucket
Boston · 79°F edge
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$1 → $0 back
-$1.17
▾
entered
Aug 18 9:00am EDT (2d ago)
exited
Aug 19 7:26am EDT (yesterday)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
77.0°F 73.6°F 77.2°F — — — 77.0°F
recorded high · Boston Logan (KBOS)
75.0°F
rounds to 75°F · outside bucket
3 days ago · 14 closed · 11W 3L · +$73
Close at settlement · 14 closed · 11W 3L · +$73
Philadelphia · 87-88°F
Aug 18 1:56pm EDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $61 back
+$10.62
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am EDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 1:56pm EDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
88.0°F 89.3°F 85.1°F — — — 88.0°F exit
— 89.3°F 85.1°F — 91.3°F 87.5°F 88.3°F now
— 89.3°F 85.1°F — 91.3°F 87.5°F 88.3°F
recorded high · PHL Philadelphia
89.0°F
rounds to 89°F · outside bucket
Seattle · 79-80°F
Aug 18 7:26am PDT (2d ago) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$50 → $0 back
-$51.01
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am PDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am PDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
79.0°F 84.4°F 76.7°F — — — 79.0°F exit
— 84.4°F 76.7°F — 76.5°F 76.5°F — now
— 84.4°F 76.7°F — 76.5°F 76.5°F —
recorded high · Seattle (KSEA)
80.0°F
rounds to 80°F · in bucket
Oklahoma City · 96-97°F
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$7 → $12 back
+$4.42
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am CDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
96.0°F 104.0°F 98.3°F — — — 96.0°F exit
— 104.0°F 98.3°F — 98.9°F 97.5°F 99.7°F now
— 104.0°F 98.3°F — 98.9°F 97.5°F 99.7°F
recorded high · Oklahoma City (KOKC)
98.0°F
rounds to 98°F · outside bucket
New Orleans · 97-98°F
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$6 → $9 back
+$3.13
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am CDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
97.0°F 98.0°F 94.0°F — — — 97.0°F exit
— 98.0°F 94.0°F — 99.5°F 93.9°F 96.3°F now
— 98.0°F 94.0°F — 99.5°F 93.9°F 96.3°F
recorded high · New Orleans (KMSY)
95.0°F
rounds to 95°F · outside bucket
Houston · 97-98°F
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$15 → $31 back
+$16.13
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am CDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
98.0°F 102.7°F 98.5°F — — — 98.0°F exit
— 102.7°F 98.5°F — 95.3°F 99.1°F 98.9°F now
— 102.7°F 98.5°F — 95.3°F 99.1°F 98.9°F
recorded high · Houston Hobby (KHOU)
96.0°F
rounds to 96°F · outside bucket
Chicago · 78°F edge
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $62 back
+$12.13
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am CDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
76.0°F 78.5°F 76.3°F — — — 76.0°F exit
— 78.5°F 76.3°F — 72.6°F 76.9°F 76.1°F now
— 78.5°F 76.3°F — 72.6°F 76.9°F 76.1°F
recorded high · Midway, Chicago
78.0°F
rounds to 78°F · outside bucket
Austin · 102-103°F
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$27 → $87 back
+$59.96
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am CDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
102.0°F 106.2°F 101.7°F — — — 102.0°F exit
— 106.2°F 101.7°F — 100.6°F 101.7°F 102.5°F now
— 106.2°F 101.7°F — 100.6°F 101.7°F 102.5°F
recorded high · Austin-Bergstrom (KAUS)
104.0°F
rounds to 104°F · outside bucket
Minneapolis · 82-83°F
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $60 back
+$9.96
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am CDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
82.0°F 88.4°F 83.1°F — — — 82.0°F exit
— 88.4°F 83.1°F — 83.4°F 83.5°F 84.6°F now
— 88.4°F 83.1°F — 83.4°F 83.5°F 84.6°F
recorded high · Minneapolis (KMSP)
85.0°F
rounds to 85°F · outside bucket
San Antonio · 99-100°F
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$12 → $0 back
-$11.92
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am CDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am CDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
100.0°F 102.9°F 99.7°F — — — 100.0°F exit
— 102.9°F 99.7°F — 99.1°F 100.7°F 100.6°F now
— 102.9°F 99.7°F — 99.1°F 100.7°F 100.6°F
recorded high · San Antonio (KSAT)
100.0°F
rounds to 100°F · in bucket
Boston · 74°F edge
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$28 → $54 back
+$26.11
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am EDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
73.0°F 71.1°F 75.4°F — — — 73.0°F exit
— 71.1°F 75.4°F — 75.6°F 74.7°F — now
— 71.1°F 75.4°F — 75.6°F 74.7°F —
recorded high · Boston Logan (KBOS)
76.0°F
rounds to 76°F · outside bucket
Miami · 96-97°F
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$1 → $2 back
+$1.19
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am EDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
96.0°F 98.6°F 92.6°F — — — 96.0°F exit
— 98.6°F 92.6°F — 95.6°F 92.7°F 94.9°F now
— 98.6°F 92.6°F — 95.6°F 92.7°F 94.9°F
recorded high · Miami International
95.0°F
rounds to 95°F · outside bucket
NYC · 84-85°F
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $61 back
+$10.82
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am EDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
84.0°F 89.1°F 83.2°F — — — 84.0°F exit
— 89.1°F 83.2°F — 86.5°F 81.2°F 85.0°F now
— 89.1°F 83.2°F — 86.5°F 81.2°F 85.0°F
recorded high · Central Park, NYC
81.0°F
rounds to 81°F · outside bucket
Atlanta · 97-98°F
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$21 → $0 back
-$21.59
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am EDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
98.0°F 101.7°F 98.2°F — — — 98.0°F exit
— 101.7°F 98.2°F — 94.7°F 96.9°F 97.9°F now
— 101.7°F 98.2°F — 94.7°F 96.9°F 97.9°F
recorded high · Atlanta (KATL)
98.0°F
rounds to 98°F · in bucket
Washington DC · 90-91°F
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$4 → $8 back
+$3.37
▾
entered
Aug 17 9:00am EDT (3d ago)
exited
Aug 18 7:26am EDT (2d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
90.0°F 92.1°F 92.5°F — — — 90.0°F exit
— 92.1°F 92.5°F — 94.0°F 90.6°F 92.3°F now
— 92.1°F 92.5°F — 94.0°F 90.6°F 92.3°F
recorded high · Washington Reagan (KDCA)
94.0°F
rounds to 94°F · outside bucket
4 days ago · 15 closed · 7W 8L · -$126
Close at settlement · 15 closed · 7W 8L · -$126
Phoenix · 108-109°F
Aug 17 12:26pm MST (3d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$1 → $2 back
+$1.36
▾
entered
Aug 16 10:40am MST (4d ago)
exited
Aug 17 12:26pm MST (3d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
108.0°F 105.7°F 108.9°F — — — 108.0°F
recorded high · Phoenix (KPHX)
110.0°F
rounds to 110°F · outside bucket
Los Angeles · 77-78°F
Aug 17 12:26pm PDT (3d ago) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$50 → $0 back
-$51.43
▾
entered
Aug 16 11:20am PDT (4d ago)
exited
Aug 17 12:26pm PDT (3d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
78.0°F 75.0°F 83.9°F — — — 78.0°F exit
— 74.3°F 86.7°F — 77.2°F 76.5°F — now
— 74.3°F 86.7°F — 77.2°F 76.5°F —
recorded high · LAX
77.0°F
rounds to 77°F · in bucket
Seattle · 77-78°F
Aug 17 12:26pm PDT (3d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$43 → $48 back
+$5.41
▾
entered
Aug 16 9:00am PDT (4d ago)
exited
Aug 17 12:26pm PDT (3d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
78.0°F 81.8°F 73.6°F — — — 78.0°F
recorded high · Seattle (KSEA)
75.0°F
rounds to 75°F · outside bucket
Denver · 82-83°F
Aug 17 12:26pm MDT (3d ago) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$1 → $0 back
-$1.27
▾
entered
Aug 16 9:00am MDT (4d ago)
exited
Aug 17 12:26pm MDT (3d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
83.0°F 83.1°F 79.3°F — — — 83.0°F exit
— 82.5°F 80.4°F — 85.4°F 79.1°F — now
— 82.5°F 80.4°F — 85.4°F 79.1°F —
recorded high · Denver Intl (KDEN)
82.0°F
rounds to 82°F · in bucket
Oklahoma City · 102-103°F
Aug 17 12:26pm CDT (3d ago) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$50 → $0 back
-$51.12
▾
entered
Aug 16 9:00am CDT (4d ago)
exited
Aug 17 12:26pm CDT (3d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
103.0°F 107.6°F 104.2°F — — — 103.0°F exit
— 105.5°F 102.4°F — 104.3°F 101.8°F 103.5°F now
— 105.5°F 102.4°F — 104.3°F 101.8°F 103.5°F
recorded high · Oklahoma City (KOKC)
103.0°F
rounds to 103°F · in bucket
Minneapolis · 79-80°F
Aug 17 12:26pm CDT (3d ago) · WIN · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket hit at settlement.
$50 → $58 back
+$8.39
▾
entered
Aug 16 9:00am CDT (4d ago)
exited
Aug 17 12:26pm CDT (3d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
80.0°F 86.1°F 81.2°F — — — 80.0°F exit
— 84.3°F 80.1°F — 77.8°F 80.1°F 80.6°F now
— 84.3°F 80.1°F — 77.8°F 80.1°F 80.6°F
recorded high · Minneapolis (KMSP)
83.0°F
rounds to 83°F · outside bucket
San Antonio · 99-100°F
Aug 17 12:26pm CDT (3d ago) · LOSS · manual_buy
System exited because: Bucket missed at settlement.
$3 → $0 back
-$2.79
▾
entered
Aug 16 9:00am CDT (4d ago)
exited
Aug 17 12:26pm CDT (3d ago)
forecasts (entry / exit / now)
NWS GFS ECMWF AccuW NAM HRRR CONS
entry
100.0°F 101.5°F 97.9°F — — — 100.0°F exit
— 100.0°F 97.5°F — 99.2°F 98.8°F 98.9°F now
— 100.0°F 97.5°F — 99.2°F 98.8°F 98.9°F
recorded high · San Antonio (KSAT)
99.0°F
rounds to 99°F · in bucket